Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement?
Markets
Before Jan 1, 2027
- Yes16%
- No84%
Volume $99.9K · Liquidity $46.6K
Before Oct 1, 2026
Closed- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $63.1K · Liquidity $28.7K
Before Jul 1, 2027
- Yes46%
- No54%
Volume $22.2K · Liquidity $9.9K
Before Apr 1, 2027
- Yes27%
- No73%
Volume $899.8 · Liquidity $252.8
Before Jan 1, 2028
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $299.6 · Liquidity $258.3
Before Oct 1, 2027
- Yes53%
- No47%
Volume $6.8 · Liquidity $5
Resolution rules
If Samuel Alito retires as Supreme Court justice before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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