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Who will become Prime Minister of Italy following the next general election?

Markets

  • Roberto Gualtieri

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $2.1K · Liquidity $1.1K

  • Giorgia Meloni

    • Yes37%
    • No63%

    Volume $1.8K · Liquidity $713.9

  • Giuseppe Conte

    • Yes15%
    • No85%

    Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $647

  • Elly Schlein

    • Yes28%
    • No72%

    Volume $995 · Liquidity $699.3

  • Silvia Salis

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $891 · Liquidity $646

  • Paolo Gentiloni

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $696 · Liquidity $647

  • Gaetano Manfredi

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $690 · Liquidity $646

  • Ernesto Maria Ruffini

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $689 · Liquidity $645

  • Antonio Tajani

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $686 · Liquidity $643

  • Antonio Decaro

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $651 · Liquidity $646

  • Roberto Vannacci

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $600 · Liquidity $600

Resolution rules

If Giorgia Meloni becomes Prime Minister of Italy as a result of government formation following the next Italian general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Dec 22, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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