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Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory

Markets

  • Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥5%

    • Yes29%
    • No71%

    Volume $9.2K · Liquidity $4.1K

  • Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥9%

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $8.3K · Liquidity $2.1K

  • Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥3%

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $5.2K · Liquidity $1.5K

  • Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥7%

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $3.5K · Liquidity $2K

  • Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥4%

    • Yes38%
    • No62%

    Volume $3.1K · Liquidity $2.1K

  • Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥1%

    • Yes68%
    • No32%

    Volume $3.1K · Liquidity $2.5K

  • Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥11%

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $926.8

  • Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥6%

    • Yes21%
    • No80%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff is at or above 1%, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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