Brazil presidential runoff: Lula margin of victory
Markets
Lula da Silva, ≥7%
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $29.3K · Liquidity $10.1K
Lula da Silva, ≥1%
- Yes16%
- No84%
Volume $9.4K · Liquidity $5.5K
Lula da Silva, ≥5%
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $2.6K · Liquidity $1.3K
Lula da Silva, ≥3%
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $2.5K · Liquidity $2.2K
Lula da Silva, ≥9%
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $934.2 · Liquidity $860.2
Resolution rules
If the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff is at or above 1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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