Will a ballot initiative on California secession qualify for a vote before 2030?
Markets
Will a ballot initiative on California secession qualify for a vote before 2030?
- Yes22%
- No78%
Volume $1.7K · Liquidity $448
Resolution rules
If the California Secretary of State officially certifies that at least one ballot initiative on California secession has qualified for the ballot before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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