What countries will hold referenda on leaving the EU?
Markets
Hungary
- Yes12%
- No88%
Volume $1.9K · Liquidity $467.3
Greece
- Yes8%
- No92%
Volume $1.4K · Liquidity $110.7
France
- Yes6%
- No94%
Volume $1.4K · Liquidity $182.6
Italy
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $216
Resolution rules
If Italy announces that they will hold a referendum on leaving the European Union before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
More Politics markets
EU loses a member before 2030?
No: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Will a ballot initiative on California secession qualify for a vote before 2030?
No: 78%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Which countries will vote to leave the EU before 2030?
Hungary: 8%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Next government of the United Kingdom?
Reform UK majority: 13%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Ghana presidential election winner?
Asiedu Nketia: 33%
24h vol $0 · Ends Dec 31, 2029
2028 U.S. Vice-Presidential Election winner
Marco Rubio: 12%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 6, 2030
Who will be the next President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta?
Michael Faulkender: 33%
24h vol $6 · Ends Jan 8, 2030
Ghana parliamentary election winner?
NDC: 61%
24h vol $0 · Ends Dec 7, 2029
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
J.D. Vance: 21%
24h vol $134.8K · Ends Nov 7, 2029
New Hampshire Governor winner?
Kelly Ayotte: 95%
24h vol $3.9K · Ends Nov 7, 2029
2028: Who will win the Presidency, House, and Senate?
Democratic Sweep: 49%
24h vol $1.5K · Ends Nov 7, 2029
Kansas Senate winner? (2028)
Republican party: 71%
24h vol $844.3 · Ends Nov 7, 2029