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FY2026 Commerce Department gifts and bequests (including Gold Card receipts)

Markets

  • Above $100M

    • Yes21%
    • No79%

    Volume $6.7K · Liquidity $1.7K

  • Above $1B

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $3.2K · Liquidity $1.1K

  • Above $2B

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $2.8K · Liquidity $1.4K

  • Above $6B

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $2.7K · Liquidity $55

  • Above $4B

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $2.7K · Liquidity $1

  • Above $1M

    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $214

  • Above $50M

    • Yes25%
    • No75%

    Volume $213.7 · Liquidity $205.8

  • Above $10M

    • Yes36%
    • No64%

    Volume $112.6 · Liquidity $24.4

  • Above $500M

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $1 · Liquidity $1

  • Above $5M

    • Yes67%
    • No33%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the total amount of Department of Commerce gifts and bequests receipts, including Trump Gold Card Program receipts is above 1000000 for fiscal year 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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