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How many affordable homes will NYC finance in FY2027?

Markets

  • Above 15,000

    • Yes87%
    • No13%

    Volume $6.6 · Liquidity $6.6

  • Above 30,000

    • Yes61%
    • No39%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 35,000

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 40,000

    • Yes41%
    • No59%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 45,000

    • Yes31%
    • No69%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 50,000

    • Yes21%
    • No79%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 55,000

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 20,000

    • Yes81%
    • No19%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 25,000

    • Yes71%
    • No29%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If HPD’s “Total affordable housing starts (units)” indicator in the annual Mayor’s Management Report is above 15,000 for New York City fiscal year 2027, from July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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