When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave?
Markets
Before Jan 2027
- Yes68%
- No32%
Volume $6.2K · Liquidity $2.9K
Before Oct 2026
Closed- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $4.9K · Liquidity $2.6K
Before Nov 2026
- Yes14%
- No86%
Volume $3.5K · Liquidity $1.4K
Before Dec 2026
- Yes60%
- No40%
Volume $3.3K · Liquidity $2.4K
Before Sep 2026
Closed- Yes5%
- No95%
Volume $1.8K · Liquidity $939.6
Resolution rules
If any member of Trump's Cabinet leaves their office, or announces they will leave their office, from before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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