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Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration

Markets

  • $40 trillion

    • Yes100%
    • No0%

    Volume $62.4K · Liquidity $18K

  • $50 trillion

    • Yes24%
    • No76%

    Volume $30.4K · Liquidity $8.8K

  • $45 trillion

    • Yes86%
    • No14%

    Volume $18.5K · Liquidity $6.4K

  • $47.5 trillion

    • Yes64%
    • No36%

    Volume $3.5K · Liquidity $2.4K

  • $52.5 trillion

    • Yes18%
    • No82%

    Volume $2.3K · Liquidity $1.6K

  • $42.5 trillion

    • Yes95%
    • No5%

    Volume $1.8K · Liquidity $113.9

Resolution rules

If the U.S. federal debt increases to 40 trillion for any quarter in Q4 2024 to Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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