Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary?
Markets
New Hampshire
- Yes88%
- No12%
Volume $34.7K · Liquidity $13.8K
South Carolina
- Yes6%
- No94%
Volume $30.4K · Liquidity $11.3K
Iowa
- Yes10%
- No90%
Volume $28.7K · Liquidity $12.9K
Nevada
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $4.4K · Liquidity $2.7K
Resolution rules
If South Carolina holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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