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Who will be the next President of the European Central Bank?

Markets

  • Pablo Hernández de Cos

    • Yes42%
    • No58%

    Volume $3.1K · Liquidity $2.1K

  • François Villeroy de Galhau

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $289.2

  • Joachim Nagel

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $804.2 · Liquidity $744.2

  • Nadia Calviño

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $688.7 · Liquidity $289.2

  • Fabio Panetta

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $688.7 · Liquidity $289.2

  • Olli Rehn

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $688.7 · Liquidity $289.2

  • Klaas Knot

    • Yes34%
    • No66%

    Volume $289.2 · Liquidity $289.2

Resolution rules

If Klaas Knot formally holds the position of President of the European Central Bank before Jan 1, 2028, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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