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NYC population change (July 2025 – July 2027)?

Markets

  • No change or decrease 0–0.99%

    • Yes31%
    • No69%

    Volume $23.4K · Liquidity $8.9K

  • Increase 0.01-0.99%

    • Yes37%
    • No63%

    Volume $14.6K · Liquidity $5.6K

  • Increase 1-1.99%

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $11.2K · Liquidity $5.7K

  • Decrease 1-1.99%

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $10.4K · Liquidity $6.5K

  • Increase 3% or more

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $9.8K · Liquidity $4.6K

  • Decrease 3% or more

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $9.2K · Liquidity $5.6K

  • Increase 2-2.99%

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $6.5K · Liquidity $4.4K

  • Decrease 2-2.99%

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $4.1K · Liquidity $3.6K

Resolution rules

If the population change in New York City is -3% or less between July 1, 2025 and July 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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