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How many executive orders will Trump sign in his second term?

Markets

  • Below 300

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $11.2K · Liquidity $4K

  • Above 800

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $9.8K · Liquidity $1.6K

  • Between 400 and 449

    • Yes20%
    • No80%

    Volume $6.6K · Liquidity $5.8K

  • Between 350 and 399

    • Yes17%
    • No83%

    Volume $5.4K · Liquidity $4.7K

  • Between 300 and 349

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $4.9K · Liquidity $4.1K

  • Between 450 and 499

    • Yes16%
    • No84%

    Volume $4.9K · Liquidity $4.4K

  • Between 500 and 549

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $4.3K · Liquidity $3.7K

  • Between 650 and 699

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $4.1K · Liquidity $2.2K

  • Between 600 and 649

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $3.9K · Liquidity $1.6K

  • Between 550 and 599

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $3.3K · Liquidity $2.9K

  • Between 700 and 749

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $2.6K · Liquidity $1.3K

  • Between 750 and 800

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $919

Resolution rules

If the President signs below 300 Executive Orders during his second term, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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