Skip to content

When will Trump nominate a Federal Reserve governor?

Markets

  • Before Oct 1, 2026

    Closed
    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $1.5K · Liquidity $681.5

  • Before Jan 1, 2028

    • Yes71%
    • No29%

    Volume $141.5 · Liquidity $54.8

  • Before Jan 1, 2027

    • Yes23%
    • No77%

    Volume $128 · Liquidity $47

  • Before Apr 1, 2027

    • Yes56%
    • No44%

    Volume $97 · Liquidity $47

  • Before Jul 1, 2027

    • Yes62%
    • No38%

    Volume $59 · Liquidity $28

  • Before Oct 1, 2027

    • Yes61%
    • No39%

    Volume $56 · Liquidity $28

  • Before Feb 1, 2027

    • Yes38%
    • No62%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If any person is nominated to be a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors after Issuance and before Oct 1, 2026. then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses