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Which Senators will vote for Kari Lake?

Markets

  • Mitch McConnell

    • Yes19%
    • No81%

    Volume $8K · Liquidity $2K

  • Rand Paul

    • Yes60%
    • No40%

    Volume $6.2K · Liquidity $3K

  • John Fetterman

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $5.6K · Liquidity $2.6K

  • Bill Cassidy

    • Yes15%
    • No85%

    Volume $5.5K · Liquidity $890.7

  • Thom Tillis

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $4.3K · Liquidity $2.3K

  • Susan Collins

    • Yes45%
    • No55%

    Volume $3.8K · Liquidity $1.5K

  • Ruben Gallego

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $2.3K · Liquidity $1.2K

  • Lisa Murkowski

    • Yes29%
    • No71%

    Volume $1.9K · Liquidity $410

Resolution rules

If Susan Collins votes Yea for Kari Lake for United States Ambassador to Jamaica before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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