How many new countries will normalize relations with Israel before 2028?
Markets
At least 1
Closed- Yes83%
- No17%
Volume $1.9K · Liquidity $1.3K
At least 3
- Yes41%
- No59%
Volume $225.2 · Liquidity $165.8
At least 4
- Yes26%
- No74%
Volume $210 · Liquidity $210
At least 2
- Yes46%
- No54%
Volume $158.7 · Liquidity $155.9
At least 5
- Yes25%
- No75%
Volume $12.2 · Liquidity $9
At least 6
- Yes10%
- No91%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Resolution rules
If the number of distinct countries with which Israel has agreed to normalize relations under a ratified agreement is at least 1 after Issuance and before 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
More Politics markets
Will Brigitte Macron win her defamation lawsuit against Candace Owens?
Yes: 63%
24h vol $199.5 · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Which Senators will vote for Heidi Overton?
Rand Paul: 71%
24h vol $60 · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Will Matthew McConaughey run for office before 2028?
No: 68%
24h vol $7 · Ends Jan 1, 2028
When will the debt limit be increased?
Before Jan 1, 2028: 91%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Will Trump win his BBC lawsuit?
No: 77%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2028
When will Trump nominate a Federal Reserve governor?
Before Jan 1, 2028: 71%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Will the ban on supersonic flight over land end before 2028?
Before Jan 1, 2028: 50%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Will Rubio and Vance run for President?
Yes: 52%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Which Senators will vote for Kari Lake?
Rand Paul: 60%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Will Musk deposit SpaceX shares into 10M Trump Accounts?
No: 53%
24h vol $2.2K · Ends Jan 1, 2028
When will Trump, Xi and Putin meet together?
Before Jan 1, 2028: 79%
24h vol $306.7 · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Which states will enact data center moratoriums before 2028?
California: 98%
24h vol $209.7 · Ends Jan 1, 2028

