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How many states will elect a governor and senator from different parties this year? (Directional)

Markets

  • At least 5

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $693 · Liquidity $693

  • At least 6

    • Yes32%
    • No68%

    Volume $500 · Liquidity $500

  • At least 4

    • Yes71%
    • No29%

    Volume $463.4 · Liquidity $463.4

  • At least 3

    • Yes82%
    • No18%

    Volume $300 · Liquidity $300

  • At least 8

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $54 · Liquidity $11

  • At least 1

    • Yes98%
    • No2%

    Volume $3 · Liquidity $3

  • At least 7

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $1.2 · Liquidity $1.2

  • At least 2

    • Yes51%
    • No49%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the number of states in which the winner of the 2026 gubernatorial general election and the winner of a 2026 U.S. Senate general election (including special elections) are nominees of different political parties is at least 1, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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