Skip to content

CA-06 House winner?

Markets

  • Republican party

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $27.6K · Liquidity $6.4K

  • Kevin Kiley

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $16.8K · Liquidity $11.8K

  • Richard Pan

    • Yes96%
    • No4%

    Volume $16.1K · Liquidity $8.1K

Resolution rules

If the House member sworn in for CA-06 for the term beginning in 2027 is Kevin Kiley (as an independent), then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses