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Iowa Senate margin of victory

Markets

  • Hinson, 4+ pts

    • Yes28%
    • No72%

    Volume $12.6K · Liquidity $9K

  • Hinson, 2+ pts

    • Yes42%
    • No58%

    Volume $10.3K · Liquidity $7.9K

  • Hinson, 6+ pts

    • Yes18%
    • No82%

    Volume $10K · Liquidity $7K

  • Hinson, 10+ pts

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $1.1K

  • Hinson, 14+ pts

    • Yes25%
    • No75%

    Volume $884.2 · Liquidity $771.2

  • Hinson, 12+ pts

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $773.9 · Liquidity $771.3

  • Hinson, 8+ pts

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $676.9 · Liquidity $435.3

  • Hinson, 1+ pts

    • Yes44%
    • No56%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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