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Mississippi Senate margin of victory

Markets

  • Smith, 9+ pts

    • Yes35%
    • No65%

    Volume $23.4K · Liquidity $20.7K

  • Smith, 7+ pts

    • Yes51%
    • No49%

    Volume $18.1K · Liquidity $10.5K

  • Smith, 5+ pts

    • Yes63%
    • No37%

    Volume $10.4K · Liquidity $8.5K

  • Smith, 11+ pts

    • Yes19%
    • No81%

    Volume $10.1K · Liquidity $8.2K

  • Smith, 13+ pts

    • Yes13%
    • No87%

    Volume $8.8K · Liquidity $7.2K

  • Smith, 15+ pts

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $928.9 · Liquidity $609

  • Smith, 3+ pts

    • Yes80%
    • No20%

    Volume $928.4 · Liquidity $692.9

  • Smith, 17+ pts

    • Yes32%
    • No68%

    Volume $416.2 · Liquidity $336.2

  • Smith, 21+ pts

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $200 · Liquidity $200

  • Smith, 23+ pts

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $177 · Liquidity $175

  • Smith, 19+ pts

    • Yes16%
    • No84%

    Volume $117.3 · Liquidity $117.3

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Mississippi by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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