PA-04 House winner?
Markets
Aurora Stuski
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volume $2.5K · Liquidity $995.4
Madeleine Dean
- Yes95%
- No5%
Volume $1.7K · Liquidity $918.1
Resolution rules
If the House member sworn in for PA-04 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
More Politics markets
Mississippi Senate margin of victory
Smith, 3+ pts: 80%
24h vol $17.7K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Minnesota Senate margin of victory
Flanagan, 1+ pts: 82%
24h vol $8.4K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Ohio Governor-Senate combo
Amy Acton and Sherrod Brown win: 70%
24h vol $8.2K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
North Carolina Senate margin of victory
Cooper, 1+ pts: 95%
24h vol $5.7K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Minnesota Governor-Senate combo
Amy Klobuchar and Peggy Flanagan win: 90%
24h vol $5K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Texas Senate General Election: voter turnout
Above 8.20M: 90%
24h vol $2K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
California Governor General Election: voter turnout
Above 10M: 95%
24h vol $1.9K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Michigan Governor-Senate combo
Jocelyn Benson and Abdul El-Sayed win: 69%
24h vol $1.5K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Iowa Senate margin of victory
Hinson, 2+ pts: 42%
24h vol $1.2K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
New Hampshire Governor-Senate combo
Kelly Ayotte and Chris Pappas win: 84%
24h vol $1.1K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Nebraska's 2nd District margin of victory
Powell, 1+ pts: 92%
24h vol $1K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Michigan Senate General Election: voter turnout
Above 4.10M: 95%
24h vol $962.5 · Ends Nov 3, 2027