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Who will the House impeach first before 2028?

Markets

  • Donald Trump

    • Yes15%
    • No85%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • JD Vance

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Pete Hegseth

    • Yes35%
    • No66%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Todd Blanche

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Howard Lutnick

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • None of these

    • Yes36%
    • No65%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If Donald Trump is the first of the officials named in this event to be impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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