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Will the D.C. Circuit fully affirm the Perkins Coie ruling?

Markets

  • Will the U.S. Court of Appeals for the D.C. Circuit rule affirms in its entirety the district court's May 2, 2025 final judgment holding Executive Order 14230 unconstitutional and permanently enjoining it?

    • Yes66%
    • No34%

    Volume $220 · Liquidity $220

Resolution rules

If the U.S. Court of Appeals for the D.C. Circuit affirms in its entirety the district court's May 2, 2025 final judgment holding Executive Order 14230 unconstitutional and permanently enjoining it in Perkins Coie LLP v. U.S. Department of Justice, No. 25-5241 (D.C. Cir.) before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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