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Israeli legislative election: % of vote below threshold

Markets

  • At least 2%

    • Yes51%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 3%

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 4%

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 5%

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 6%

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 7%

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 8%

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 9%

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 10%

    • Yes50%
    • No51%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the combined share of valid votes cast for lists below the 3.25% electoral threshold in the Central Elections Committee for the Knesset’s first official final results is at least 2% in the October 27, 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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