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Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory?

Markets

  • Nithya Raman, 10-12%

    • Yes5%
    • No96%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Nithya Raman, 12-14%

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Karen Bass, 10-12%

    • Yes6%
    • No95%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Nithya Raman, 16-18%

    • Yes4%
    • No97%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Karen Bass, ≥12%

    • Yes13%
    • No87%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Karen Bass, 8-10%

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Karen Bass, 6-8%

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Karen Bass, 4-6%

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Karen Bass, 2-4%

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Karen Bass, 0-2%

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Nithya Raman, 0-2%

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Nithya Raman, 2-4%

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Nithya Raman, 4-6%

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Nithya Raman, 6-8%

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Nithya Raman, 8-10%

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Nithya Raman, 14-16%

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Nithya Raman, ≥18%

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is at or above 12%, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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