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Minnesota Senate: margin of victory

Markets

  • Peggy Flanagan, 2-4%

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $306 · Liquidity $153

  • Peggy Flanagan, 6-8%

    • Yes13%
    • No87%

    Volume $297.6 · Liquidity $153.9

  • Michele Tafoya, 0-2%

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $295 · Liquidity $153

  • Michele Tafoya, ≥2%

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $295 · Liquidity $153

  • Peggy Flanagan, 12-14%

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $295 · Liquidity $153

  • Peggy Flanagan, ≥14%

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $295 · Liquidity $153

  • Peggy Flanagan, 8-10%

    • Yes13%
    • No87%

    Volume $295 · Liquidity $153

  • Peggy Flanagan, 10-12%

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $295 · Liquidity $153

  • Peggy Flanagan, 4-6%

    • Yes15%
    • No85%

    Volume $286.3 · Liquidity $153

  • Peggy Flanagan, 0-2%

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $163 · Liquidity $153

Resolution rules

If the margin of victory for Peggy Flanagan in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota is within 0% to 2%, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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