Skip to content
TheKalshiAcademy
EN

Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Karen Bass)

Markets

  • Karen Bass, ≥2%

    • Yes38%
    • No62%

    Volume $5.7K · Liquidity $4.1K

  • Karen Bass, ≥4%

    • Yes32%
    • No68%

    Volume $4.3K · Liquidity $2K

  • Karen Bass, ≥10%

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $1.5K · Liquidity $1.1K

  • Karen Bass, ≥6%

    • Yes20%
    • No80%

    Volume $784.4 · Liquidity $451.6

  • Karen Bass, ≥8%

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $629.9 · Liquidity $628.8

Resolution rules

If the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election falls within 2% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

More Politics markets