Skip to content

How many states will redistrict before the midterms?

Markets

  • Below 8

    • Yes97%
    • No3%

    Volume $5.7K · Liquidity $4.1K

  • 9

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $4.4K · Liquidity $2.1K

  • 10

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $3.6K · Liquidity $1.2K

  • 8

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $2.8K · Liquidity $809.2

  • 11

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $2.7K · Liquidity $890.5

  • Above 12

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $2.2K · Liquidity $1.1K

  • 12

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $2K · Liquidity $918.9

Resolution rules

If below 8 distinct U.S. states undergo congressional redistricting before the 2026 midterms, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses