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What will NYC’s average weekday bus speed be in December 2026?

Markets

  • At least 8.3 mph

    • Yes31%
    • No69%

    Volume $205 · Liquidity $205

  • At least 8.2 mph

    • Yes69%
    • No31%

    Volume $173 · Liquidity $173

  • At least 8 mph

    • Yes90%
    • No10%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 8.1 mph

    • Yes77%
    • No23%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 8.4 mph

    • Yes24%
    • No76%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 8.5 mph

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the MTA’s monthly key performance metric for overall citywide average weekday end-to-end route speed across New York City Transit and MTA Bus Company service is at least 8 mph for December 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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