Who will Elon Musk back a primary against in 2026?
Markets
Mike Johnson
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $8.5K · Liquidity $1.5K
John Thune
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $3.5K · Liquidity $1.6K
Steve Daines
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $1.5K · Liquidity $261.5
Tom Cole
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $1.4K · Liquidity $254.2
Kevin Cramer
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $181
Resolution rules
If Elon Musk backs a challenger to Mike Johnson before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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