Will SCOTUS bar the immediate NEPA challenge to the Air Force’s Guam hazardous-waste permit application?
Markets
Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of United States Department of the Air Force in Department of the Air Force v. Prutehi Guahan
- Yes87%
- No13%
Volume $209.9 · Liquidity $209.7
Resolution rules
If the Supreme Court, in Department of the Air Force v. Prutehi Guahan, rules a federal RCRA permit-renewal application is not final agency action immediately reviewable under the Administrative Procedure Act, or that the federal government need not complete NEPA review before submitting such an application, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
More Politics markets
Will SCOTUS allow Arizona’s citizenship-proof and pre-election noncitizen-removal rules?
Yes: 60%
24h vol $38.3 · Ends Aug 1, 2028
Will SCOTUS reject a benchmark requirement for ERISA fund-underperformance claims?
No: 83%
24h vol $0 · Ends Aug 1, 2028
Will SCOTUS bar contempt for conduct not clearly prohibited by an injunction?
Yes: 73%
24h vol $0 · Ends Aug 1, 2028
Will SCOTUS overturn or narrow Stinson deference to federal sentencing-guideline commentary?
No: 57%
24h vol $0 · Ends Aug 1, 2028
Will SCOTUS allow school employees to sue under Title IX for workplace sex discrimination?
No: 62%
24h vol $0 · Ends Aug 1, 2028
Will SCOTUS rule for DHS on third-country deportations?
Yes: 62%
24h vol $0 · Ends Aug 1, 2028
Will SCOTUS let the Labor Department impose H-2A monetary remedies through agency proceedings?
No: 85%
24h vol $0 · Ends Aug 1, 2028
Will SCOTUS allow religious chilling-effect claims without a final land-use decision?
Yes: 83%
24h vol $0 · Ends Aug 1, 2028
Will SCOTUS bar successive habeas claims that could have been raised earlier?
Yes: 68%
24h vol $0 · Ends Aug 1, 2028
Will SCOTUS require state-law compensation in private natural-gas condemnations?
Yes: 54%
24h vol $0 · Ends Aug 1, 2028
Will SCOTUS let parents challenge laws that displace them from their children’s gender-transition decisions?
Yes: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Aug 1, 2028
Will SCOTUS let district courts hear constitutional challenges to veterans-benefits laws?
Yes: 56%
24h vol $0 · Ends Aug 1, 2028

