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Will SCOTUS allow religious chilling-effect claims without a final land-use decision?

Markets

  • Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Daniel Grand in Grand v. City of University Heights

    • Yes83%
    • No17%

    Volume $831.3 · Liquidity $0.3

Resolution rules

If the Supreme Court, in Grand v. City of University Heights, rules the land-use finality requirement does not displace a First Amendment chilling-effect claim based on credible government threats that deter religious exercise, worship, or assembly, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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