Skip to content

Will SCOTUS require courts to consider a defendant’s specific wrongdoing in excessive-fines cases?

Markets

  • Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Kenneth J. Jouppi in Jouppi v. Alaska

    • Yes76%
    • No24%

    Volume $0.2 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Supreme Court, in Jouppi v. Alaska, rules courts must consider the gravity of the specific defendant’s wrongdoing, rather than evaluating the underlying offense purely in the abstract, when applying the Excessive Fines Clause, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses