Will SCOTUS let people seek green cards after their asylum is terminated?
Markets
Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Tamer S. Wassily in Wassily v. Blanche
- Yes27%
- No73%
Volume $251.9 · Liquidity $246.3
Resolution rules
If the Supreme Court, in Wassily v. Blanche, rules termination of a noncitizen’s asylum does not categorically bar that person from seeking adjustment to lawful permanent resident status under 8 U.S.C. § 1159(b), then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
More Politics markets
Will SCOTUS allow Arizona’s citizenship-proof and pre-election noncitizen-removal rules?
Yes: 60%
24h vol $38.3 · Ends Aug 1, 2028
Will SCOTUS bar the immediate NEPA challenge to the Air Force’s Guam hazardous-waste permit application?
Yes: 87%
24h vol $5.7 · Ends Aug 1, 2028
Will SCOTUS reject a benchmark requirement for ERISA fund-underperformance claims?
No: 83%
24h vol $0 · Ends Aug 1, 2028
Will SCOTUS bar contempt for conduct not clearly prohibited by an injunction?
Yes: 73%
24h vol $0 · Ends Aug 1, 2028
Will SCOTUS overturn or narrow Stinson deference to federal sentencing-guideline commentary?
No: 57%
24h vol $0 · Ends Aug 1, 2028
Will SCOTUS allow school employees to sue under Title IX for workplace sex discrimination?
No: 62%
24h vol $0 · Ends Aug 1, 2028
Will SCOTUS rule for DHS on third-country deportations?
Yes: 62%
24h vol $0 · Ends Aug 1, 2028
Will SCOTUS let the Labor Department impose H-2A monetary remedies through agency proceedings?
No: 85%
24h vol $0 · Ends Aug 1, 2028
Will SCOTUS bar successive habeas claims that could have been raised earlier?
Yes: 68%
24h vol $0 · Ends Aug 1, 2028
Will SCOTUS require state-law compensation in private natural-gas condemnations?
Yes: 54%
24h vol $0 · Ends Aug 1, 2028
Will SCOTUS let parents challenge laws that displace them from their children’s gender-transition decisions?
Yes: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Aug 1, 2028
Will SCOTUS let district courts hear constitutional challenges to veterans-benefits laws?
Yes: 56%
24h vol $0 · Ends Aug 1, 2028

