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Will SCOTUS let people seek green cards after their asylum is terminated?

Markets

  • Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Tamer S. Wassily in Wassily v. Blanche

    • Yes27%
    • No73%

    Volume $251.9 · Liquidity $246.3

Resolution rules

If the Supreme Court, in Wassily v. Blanche, rules termination of a noncitizen’s asylum does not categorically bar that person from seeking adjustment to lawful permanent resident status under 8 U.S.C. § 1159(b), then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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