Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?
Markets
Pete Hegseth
- Yes33%
- No67%
Volume $75.5K · Liquidity $35.1K
Susie Wiles
- Yes13%
- No87%
Volume $32.5K · Liquidity $13.2K
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volume $32.1K · Liquidity $14.9K
Markwayne Mullin
- Yes10%
- No90%
Volume $25.9K · Liquidity $10.9K
Howard Lutnick
- Yes14%
- No86%
Volume $20.6K · Liquidity $12.5K
Chris Wright
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $12.1K · Liquidity $6.8K
Marco Rubio
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $9.7K · Liquidity $5.4K
Doug Burgum
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $9.5K · Liquidity $3.2K
Doug Collins
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $8.1K · Liquidity $6.1K
Scott Bessent
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $7.6K · Liquidity $6.1K
Brooke Rollins
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $7.6K · Liquidity $6.3K
Michael Kratsios
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $6K · Liquidity $5.1K
John Ratcliffe
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $5.5K · Liquidity $3.7K
Linda McMahon
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $5.1K · Liquidity $3.5K
Kelly Loeffler
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $5.1K · Liquidity $3.3K
Sean Duffy
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $4.6K · Liquidity $4K
Scott Turner
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $3.8K · Liquidity $2.8K
Jamieson Greer
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $3.5K · Liquidity $2.7K
Lee Zeldin
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $3.1K · Liquidity $2.4K
Mike Waltz
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $2.9K · Liquidity $2.8K
Russell Vought
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $1.9K · Liquidity $1.4K
Christopher Phelan
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $117.5 · Liquidity $117.5
Todd Blanche
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $49.4 · Liquidity $49.4
Jay Clayton
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $49.4 · Liquidity $49.4
Keith Sonderling
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $49.4 · Liquidity $49.4
Resolution rules
If Marco Rubio is the first member of the Cabinet of Donald Trump to leave or announce they will leave (such as by quitting, being fired, or being impeached) after May 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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