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Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Shas win?

Markets

  • Above 9

    • Yes18%
    • No82%

    Volume $4.4K · Liquidity $802.4

  • Above 11

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $327.5 · Liquidity $327.5

  • Above 7

    • Yes70%
    • No30%

    Volume $150.7 · Liquidity $100.7

  • Above 6

    • Yes90%
    • No10%

    Volume $46 · Liquidity $46

  • Above 10

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $0.1 · Liquidity $0.1

  • Above 5

    • Yes95%
    • No5%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 8

    • Yes39%
    • No62%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If Shas has won above 5 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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