Texas Senate: Exact outcome
Markets
Paxton defeats Talarico
- Yes36%
- No64%
Volume $327.8K · Liquidity $195.3K
Talarico defeats Paxton
- Yes65%
- No35%
Volume $163K · Liquidity $98.9K
Resolution rules
If ALL of the following occur before Jan 2027: GOP Nominee: Ken Paxton, General Election Winner: Democrat, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
More Politics markets
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ted Cruz: 85%
24h vol $2.7K · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?
Pete Buttigieg: 89%
24h vol $2.2K · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?
Yashar: 71%
24h vol $378.9 · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Prime Minister of Sweden after the general election?
Magdalena Andersson: 78%
24h vol $116 · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Will Hasan Piker announce a run for public office?
Before Jan 1, 2028: 2%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Lai Ching-te departure announced?
Before January 1, 2028: 27%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Who will be a part of the next government of Spain?
People's Party: 85%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2028
When will the next UK parliamentary by-election be called?
Before Jul 1, 2027: 82%
24h vol $158.4 · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Which Canadian provinces will call a snap election before 2028?
Manitoba: 68%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2028
When will Greenland call a snap election?
Before Jan 1, 2028: 14%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2028
2026: Trump's bad year?
No: 95%
24h vol $596.9 · Ends Dec 31, 2027
Mayor of Johannesburg after municipal elections?
Helen Zille: 51%
24h vol $88.5 · Ends Dec 31, 2027