Will Tucker Carlson form a third party?
Markets
Before Jan 1, 2027
- Yes14%
- No86%
Volume $3.9K · Liquidity $1.6K
Before Jul 1, 2027
- Yes21%
- No79%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Before Jan 1, 2028
- Yes26%
- No75%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Resolution rules
If a new U.S. political party with Tucker Carlson as a founder, co-founder, or principal organizer files with the FEC or a state election authority as a political party or party committee after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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