Skip to content

How many U.S. visas will be revoked in 2026?

Markets

  • At least 300,000

    • Yes34%
    • No66%

    Volume $196.8 · Liquidity $196.8

  • At least 150,000

    • Yes86%
    • No14%

    Volume $1.2 · Liquidity $1.2

  • At least 100,000

    • Yes90%
    • No10%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 200,000

    • Yes71%
    • No29%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 250,000

    • Yes54%
    • No46%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 400,000

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the number of visas revoked by the U.S. Department of State is at least 100,000 in calendar year 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses