Skip to content
TheKalshiAcademy
EN

Brazil presidential runoff: Lula vote percent

Markets

  • At least 45%

    • Yes93%
    • No7%

    Volume $16.6K · Liquidity $2.2K

  • At least 47%

    • Yes80%
    • No20%

    Volume $7.6K · Liquidity $3.4K

  • At least 48%

    • Yes62%
    • No38%

    Volume $6.6K · Liquidity $1.8K

  • At least 52%

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $6.1K · Liquidity $5.4K

  • At least 46%

    • Yes91%
    • No9%

    Volume $5.7K · Liquidity $3.2K

  • At least 50%

    • Yes23%
    • No77%

    Volume $3.8K · Liquidity $1K

  • At least 51%

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $3.5K · Liquidity $2.5K

  • At least 49%

    • Yes35%
    • No65%

    Volume $2.5K · Liquidity $1.6K

  • At least 47.5%

    • Yes73%
    • No27%

    Volume $203.4 · Liquidity $203.4

  • At least 44%

    • Yes97%
    • No3%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 44% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

More Politics markets