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Will the FDA approve VERVE-102?

Markets

  • Before 2030

    • Yes58%
    • No42%

    Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $258.2

  • Before 2035

    • Yes87%
    • No13%

    Volume $332.1 · Liquidity $25

  • Before 2031

    • Yes69%
    • No31%

    Volume $117.3 · Liquidity $16.7

  • Before 2034

    • Yes81%
    • No19%

    Volume $48 · Liquidity $18

  • Before 2032

    • Yes76%
    • No24%

    Volume $35.3 · Liquidity $9.3

  • Before 2033

    • Yes79%
    • No21%

    Volume $2 · Liquidity $2

Resolution rules

If the FDA approves VERVE-102 for marketing before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses