Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
Markets
United States
- Yes57%
- No43%
Volume $86.5K · Liquidity $33.9K
China
- Yes30%
- No70%
Volume $50.4K · Liquidity $20.9K
India
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $18.5K · Liquidity $8.9K
Russia
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $14.9K · Liquidity $7.5K
European Space Agency
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $14.8K · Liquidity $5.7K
Resolution rules
If United States is the first country to launch a manned mission to the Moon before Jan 1, 2031, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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