When will xAI release Grok 5?
Markets
Before October
Closed- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $30.2K · Liquidity $15.1K
Before 2027
- Yes45%
- No55%
Volume $17.6K · Liquidity $5.9K
Before December
- Yes14%
- No86%
Volume $953.9 · Liquidity $208.9
Before September
Closed- Yes4%
- No96%
Volume $770.7 · Liquidity $765.7
Before November
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volume $297.2 · Liquidity $241
Resolution rules
If xAI releases Grok 5 before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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