Will a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year?
Markets
Before November 1, 2026
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $44K · Liquidity $23.1K
Before December 1, 2026
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $42.6K · Liquidity $19.7K
Before January 1, 2027
- Yes7%
- No93%
Volume $29.5K · Liquidity $14.7K
Resolution rules
If a confirmed human case of pneumonic plague in the United States is officially reported by a Source Agency after Issuance and before November 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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