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Will a Category 5 hurricane make landfall in Tampa before 2027?

Markets

  • Will a Category 5 hurricane make landfall in Tampa before 2027?

    • Yes5%
    • No96%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If a Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in Tampa (defined coastal area: the coastline within the municipal boundaries of the City of Tampa, Florida) from October 8, 2026 at 8:00:00 PM EDT until, but excluding, January 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM ET, as reported by the National Hurricane Center, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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