Will a Category 3 hurricane make landfall in Tampa before Dec 1, 2026?
Markets
Will a Category 3 hurricane make landfall in Tampa before Dec 1, 2026?
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $2.4K · Liquidity $2.1K
Resolution rules
If a Category 3 hurricane makes landfall in Tampa (defined coastal area: the coastline within the municipal boundaries of the City of Tampa, Florida) from October 9, 2026 at 4:00:00 PM EDT until, but excluding, December 1, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET, as reported by the National Hurricane Center, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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