Will a Category 5 hurricane make landfall in Tampa before Dec 1, 2026?
Markets
Will a Category 5 hurricane make landfall in Tampa before Dec 1, 2026?
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $500 · Liquidity $500
Resolution rules
If a Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in Tampa (defined coastal area: the coastline within the municipal boundaries of the City of Tampa, Florida) from October 9, 2026 at 4:00:00 PM EDT until, but excluding, December 1, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET, as reported by the National Hurricane Center, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
More World markets
Will a Category 3 hurricane make landfall in Tampa before Dec 1, 2026?
No: 98%
24h vol $0 · Ends Dec 1, 2026
Will a Category 4 hurricane make landfall in Tampa before Dec 1, 2026?
No: 99%
24h vol $0 · Ends Dec 1, 2026
Will a Category 3 hurricane make landfall in Tampa before 2027?
No: 99%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Will a Category 4 hurricane make landfall in Tampa before 2027?
No: 52%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Will a Category 5 hurricane make landfall in Tampa before 2027?
No: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Number of tornadoes in Nov 2026?
Above 25: 59%
24h vol $150 · Ends Dec 1, 2026
When will the next Category 5 hurricane form?
Before Dec 1, 2026: 6%
24h vol $117.6 · Ends Dec 1, 2026
Rain in Los Angeles in Nov 2026?
Above 2 inches: 55%
24h vol $10.8 · Ends Dec 1, 2026
Rain in Dallas in Nov 2026?
Above 1 inch: 88%
24h vol $2 · Ends Dec 1, 2026
Rain in Denver in Nov 2026?
Above 4 inches: 51%
24h vol $1.8 · Ends Dec 1, 2026
Rain in Austin in Nov 2026?
Above 1 inch: 70%
24h vol $1.4 · Ends Dec 1, 2026
Rain in Chicago in Nov 2026?
Above 1 inch: 88%
24h vol $0 · Ends Dec 1, 2026