Mercados de predicción de Mundo
Mercados de Kalshi en vivo sobre eventos mundiales, clima, meteorología y salud.
Datos de Kalshi, actualizados ….
Solo informativo. No es asesoramiento financiero ni de apuestas. Las probabilidades reflejan precios de mercado, no certezas.
What will the peak RONI value be during the 2026-27 El Niño season?
2.5°C to 2.9°C: 56%
Vol. 24h $5.3K · Cierra 15 ago 2027
Will it rain in Ontario, California on Feb 27, 2027?
No: 82%
Vol. 24h $3.9K · Cierra 28 feb 2027
What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
At least 2000: 97%
Vol. 24h $268.6 · Cierra 1 ene 2029
What will the peak RONI value for El Niño be during the NDJ 2026-27 season?
At least 2.5°C: 79%
Vol. 24h $200 · Cierra 5 abr 2027
What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?
Oil: 61%
Vol. 24h $31.4 · Cierra 30 dic 2032
What will the peak RONI value be for the NDJ 2026-27 quarter?
At least 2.0°C: 86%
Vol. 24h $23.7 · Cierra 5 abr 2027
Major volcano eruption in 2026?
At least 1: 60%
Vol. 24h $22 · Cierra 29 jun 2027
Will the FDA approve a cure for Type 1 diabetes before 2033?
No: 63%
Vol. 24h $2.7 · Cierra 1 ene 2033
India meets its 2030 climate goals?
Yes: 70%
Vol. 24h $2.4 · Cierra 31 dic 2031
Will Trump make IVF free?
No: 91%
Vol. 24h $1.1 · Cierra 20 ene 2029
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?
No: 73%
Vol. 24h $1 · Cierra 31 dic 2035
US meets its climate goals?
By 2030: 16%
Vol. 24h $0.1 · Cierra 31 dic 2035
EU meets its 2030 climate goals?
No: 52%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 31 dic 2032
Will the average minimum temperature in Texas (DFW & IAH) fall below 20°F for at least 2 days within a 4-day span?
Before 2029: 68%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2029
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028?
No: 88%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 31 dic 2028
Rain in Paris on Sep 3, 2027?
No: 60%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 4 sept 2027
Will Karl Bushby Finish His World Walk to Hull Before 2030?
Yes: 96%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2030
Will there be a year without polio before 2030?
No: 94%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2030
EV market share in 2030?
Above 10%: 86%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 may 2030
8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?
No: 71%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2030
EU has a new member before 2030?
Yes: 72%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2030
How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030?
At least 440: 86%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2030
Will a supervolcano erupt before 2050?
No: 74%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2050
How much will it rain in Napa in November 2026 through March 2027?
Above 15 inches: 96%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 abr 2027
Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?
Yes: 66%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2050