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When will any company achieve AGI?

Markets

  • Before Oct 1, 2026

    Closed
    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $57.1K · Liquidity $16.3K

  • Before Jan 1, 2027

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $38.2K · Liquidity $17.5K

  • Before Oct 1, 2027

    • Yes41%
    • No59%

    Volume $34.2K · Liquidity $16.1K

  • Before Jul 1, 2027

    • Yes28%
    • No72%

    Volume $33.5K · Liquidity $14.2K

  • Before Apr 1, 2027

    • Yes19%
    • No81%

    Volume $23.1K · Liquidity $13.5K

  • Before Jan 1, 2028

    • Yes38%
    • No62%

    Volume $21.8K · Liquidity $9.2K

  • Before Apr 1, 2028

    • Yes55%
    • No45%

    Volume $10K · Liquidity $7.2K

  • Before Jan 1, 2031

    • Yes78%
    • No22%

    Volume $9.5K · Liquidity $3.9K

  • Before Jul 1, 2028

    • Yes73%
    • No27%

    Volume $5.1K · Liquidity $4.3K

  • Before Oct 1, 2028

    • Yes74%
    • No26%

    Volume $4.9K · Liquidity $3.6K

  • Before Jan 1, 2030

    • Yes81%
    • No19%

    Volume $4.5K · Liquidity $2.4K

  • Before Jan 1, 2029

    • Yes77%
    • No23%

    Volume $4.1K · Liquidity $2.4K

Resolution rules

If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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